Tuesdays are some of my favorite MLB slates for player props as we almost always have every team in action and plenty of players to choose from in good matchups. I went light on K props last night and planted my flag on Tyler Glasnow over 7.5. He was hot early and then slowed down a bit, but got to 8. Unfortunately, he didn’t go up the ladder but hitting the base play was important and the Rays won, too, which meant I was able to cash my same game parlays as well.
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In this article, I’ll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS.
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Williamson is coming off the COVID list to make his start tonight, so I am hopeful that we get the full pitch count allowance for him in this spot against the Tigers, who have been a top-5 team in terms of their strikeout rate against LHP over the last month.
Tuesdays are some of my favorite MLB slates for player props as we almost always have every team in action and plenty of players to choose from in good matchups. I went light on K props last night and planted my flag on Tyler Glasnow over 7.5. He was hot early and then slowed down a bit, but got to 8. Unfortunately, he didn’t go up the ladder but hitting the base play was important and the Rays won, too, which meant I was able to cash my same game parlays as well.
Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you’re signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.
In this article, I’ll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS.
Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 50% off. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools — one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily!
MLB Pitcher Prop Bets – Today’s Betting Picks
Brandon Williamson OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-110 DraftKings)
Williamson is coming off the COVID list to make his start tonight, so I am hopeful that we get the full pitch count allowance for him in this spot against the Tigers, who have been a top-5 team in terms of their strikeout rate against LHP over the last month.
Williamson has struck out five or more hitters in six straight starts and has been one of the Reds’ most consistent starters down the stretch. They need a big outing from him today and I can’t understand why we are getting him at such a low number and decent odds unless Vegas thinks he will have a short leash. I’m taking a shot on him and I don’t feel like chasing any higher K numbers from better-known pitchers who are in less favorable matchups today.
Zack Littell OVER 3.5 strikeouts (-165 DraftKings)
We have to eat a lot of juice here, but the Rays righty has a plus matchup against the Twins and a stupidly low number. Litell has just a 19% strikeout rate this season, but he has been pitching very effectively and therefore he has been able to go 5+ innings in all but one start since being converted from a reliever to a starter back in late July. He has a better K% against lefties than righties, which actually helps him out in this matchup as he’s likely going to see 5-6 LHH in the Twins lineup.
I don’t love betting on a guy without great strikeout stuff, but the low number and matchup stand out today on a slate where the pickings are a bit slim otherwise.
Bryan Woo OVER 1.5 earned runs allowed (-125 DraftKings)
When I don’t have a third K prop that I like, I start looking at outs props, then walk props, and then eventually at some hits or runs allowed props. This one stands out to me today. What has Bryan Woo done to deserve such a low number? He looked terrible in his last start, walking three and striking out zero hitters against the Reds (not an easy feat) as he allowed five earned runs over five innings. His velocity was down and it was pretty clear that something was up.
The Angels might be packing it in this year, but they just put up eight runs on the Mariners last night, three of those against a far superior pitcher in Logan Gilbert. If we just need two runs off Woo to cash, I like our chances of the young Halo hitters getting it done.